南方医科大学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (03): 333-336.doi: 10.12122/j.issn.1673-4254.2020.03.04

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中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值可作为重型COVID-19的预警信号

夏欣田,温敏勇,詹少锋,何 靖,陈伟焘   

  • 出版日期:2020-04-08 发布日期:2020-03-20
  • 基金资助:

An increased neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio is an early warning signal of severe COVID-19

  

  • Online:2020-04-08 Published:2020-03-20

摘要: 目的 探寻重型新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)的预警信号。方法 回顾性分析湖北中西医结合医院呼吸四病区及一病区收治的63例COVID-19患者的临床资料,按照诊断标准分为普通型组(32例)和重型组(31例)。比较两组患者在一般资料、基础疾病、临床表现及实验室检查指标的差异,采用相关和回归分析糖尿病、中性粒细胞/淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血清淀粉样蛋白A (SSA)、C反应蛋白(CRP)、血清白蛋白(ALB)与重型COVID-19的相关性,结合受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)分析NLR的曲线下面积(AUC),评估其在COVID-19的预测效能。结果 两组患者在糖尿病、NLR、SSA、CRP、ALB具有显著性差异(P< 0.05);糖尿病、NLR、SSA、CRP与重型COVID-19存在正性相关(P<0.05);ALB与重型COVID-19存在负性相关(P<0.05);通过多因素Logistic回归分析显示:NLR为重型COVID-19的独立危险因素(OR=1.264,95%CI:1.046~1.526,P=0.015);应用ROC曲线计算AUC为0.831(95%CI:0.730~0.932),相对应的NLR最佳界值为4.795,敏感度为0.839,特异性为0.750。结论 NLR可以作为重型COVID-19的预警信号,能为早期识别重型COVID-19提供客观依据。

Abstract: Objective To identify the biomarkers as early warning signals for severe COVID-19. Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 63 patients with COVID-19 from Hubei Provincial Hospital of Integrated Chinese and Western Medicine, including 32 moderate cases and 31 severe cases. The demographic data, underlying diseases, clinical manifestations and laboratory test results were compared between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the factors that predicted the severity of COVID-19. The receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC) of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was calculated, and the area under the curve (AUC) was determined to estimate the optimal threshold of NLR for predicting severe cases of COVID-19. Results The patients with moderate and server COVID-19 showed significant differences in the rate of diabetes, NLR, serum amyloid A (SSA), C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum albumin (ALB) levels (P<0.05). The co- morbidity of diabetes, NLR, SSA and CRP were found to positively correlate and ALB to inversely correlate with the severity of COVID-19 (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR was an independent risk factor for severe COVID-19 (OR=1.264, 95%CI: 1.046-1.526, P=0.015) with an AUC of 0.831 (95%CI: 0.730-0.932), an optimal diagnostic threshold of 4.795, a sensitivity of 0.839, and a specificity of 0.750. Conclusion An increased NLR can serve as an early warning signal of severe COVID-19.