南方医科大学学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (1): 122-130.doi: 10.12122/j.issn.1673-4254.2026.01.13
收稿日期:2025-07-07
出版日期:2026-01-20
发布日期:2026-01-16
通讯作者:
郭冰
E-mail:likai05132024@163.com;guobing0111@scu.edu.cn
作者简介:李 凯,在读硕士研究生,E-mail: likai05132024@163.com
基金资助:
Kai LI(
), Wenqian ZENG, Yanzi ZHANG, Xiuling ZHU, Bing GUO(
)
Received:2025-07-07
Online:2026-01-20
Published:2026-01-16
Contact:
Bing GUO
E-mail:likai05132024@163.com;guobing0111@scu.edu.cn
Supported by:摘要:
目的 评估一般成年人群尿液挥发性有机化合物代谢物(mVOCs)暴露水平与代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝病(MASLD)患病风险之间的关联。 方法 基于2011~2018年美国国家健康与营养调查的四轮横断面调查,采用广义线性模型评估单一mVOC与MASLD患病风险之间的关联,进一步构建最小绝对收缩和选择算子—加权分位数(LASSO-WQS) 两阶段回归模型探究mVOCs混合暴露与MASLD患病风险之间的联系,并量化各化合物的相对贡献。 结果 单一暴露分析结果表明,在调整混杂因素后,2-氨基噻唑啉-4-羧酸(ATCA)、N-乙酰-S-2-羧乙基-L-半胱氨酸(CEMA)和N-乙酰-S-3,4-二羟基丁基-L-半胱氨酸(DHBMA)与MASLD患病风险之间存在显著正向关联。混合暴露两阶段分析显示,第一阶段LASSO回归筛选出6种与MASLD患病风险更为相关的mVOCs,第二阶段WQS回归提示mVOCs混合暴露与 MASLD患病风险之间存在显著的正向关联关系(OR=1.306,95% CI:1.132~1.507,P<0.001),其中CEMA贡献权重最大(36%)。 结论 VOCs对肝脏可能具有潜在健康风险,其中CEMA是VOCs混合暴露中贡献最大的独立风险因子,建议开展机制研究验证其肝毒性通路,并考虑将其纳入优先管控清单。
李凯, 曾文倩, 张艳孜, 朱秀玲, 郭冰. 挥发性有机物暴露与代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝病患病风险存在正向关联[J]. 南方医科大学学报, 2026, 46(1): 122-130.
Kai LI, Wenqian ZENG, Yanzi ZHANG, Xiuling ZHU, Bing GUO. Exposures to volatile organic compounds are positively correlated with risks of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease[J]. Journal of Southern Medical University, 2026, 46(1): 122-130.
| 92.6% | |||
| 99.5% | |||
| 99.7% | |||
| 94.0% | |||
| 99.4% | |||
| 99.1% | |||
| 87.2% | |||
| 99.9% | |||
| 95.2% | |||
| 99.8% | |||
| 98.8% | |||
| 99.4% | |||
| 99.9% | |||
| 97.2% | |||
| 99.9% |
表1 检出率高于80%的15种mVOCs
Tab.1 Fifteen types of volatile organic compound metabolites (mVOCs) with detection rates exceeding 80% in the urine samples
| 92.6% | |||
| 99.5% | |||
| 99.7% | |||
| 94.0% | |||
| 99.4% | |||
| 99.1% | |||
| 87.2% | |||
| 99.9% | |||
| 95.2% | |||
| 99.8% | |||
| 98.8% | |||
| 99.4% | |||
| 99.9% | |||
| 97.2% | |||
| 99.9% |
| Variable | Overall (n=2122) | Non-MASLD (n=1149) | MASLD (n=973) | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (year, Mean±SD) | 45.30 (14.17) | 43.43 (14.63) | 47.52 (13.27) | <0.001 |
| Gender [n (%)] | <0.001 | |||
| Male | 1168 (55%) | 602 (52%) | 566 (58%) | |
| Female | 954 (45%) | 547 (48%) | 407 (42%) | |
| Education level [n (%)] | 0.13 | |||
| Less than high school | 354 (17%) | 181 (16%) | 173 (18%) | |
| High school or equivalent | 413 (19%) | 212 (18%) | 201 (21%) | |
| College or above | 1355 (64%) | 756 (66%) | 599 (62%) | |
| Income level [n (%)] | 0.03 | |||
| Low income | 519 (24%) | 283 (25%) | 236 (24%) | |
| Middle income | 804 (38%) | 408 (36%) | 396 (41%) | |
| High income | 799 (38%) | 458 (40%) | 341 (35%) | |
| Marital status [n (%)] | <0.001 | |||
| Married | 1400 (66%) | 734 (64%) | 666 (68%) | |
| Divorced | 329 (16%) | 166 (14%) | 163 (17%) | |
| Single | 393 (19%) | 249 (22%) | 144 (15%) | |
| BMI (kg/m2, Mean±SD) | 29.19 (6.83) | 24.88 (3.48) | 34.27 (6.31) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes [n (%)] | 216 (10%) | 63 (5.5%) | 153 (16%) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension [n (%)] | 620 (29%) | 219 (19%) | 401 (41%) | <0.001 |
| Total cholesterol level (mmol/L, Mean±SD) | 4.94 (1.06) | 4.80 (1.00) | 5.11 (1.10) | <0.001 |
| Urinary creatinine level (mg/100 mL, Mean±SD) | 122.22 (79.13) | 113.38 (76.69) | 132.66 (80.72) | <0.001 |
表2 研究对象的一般特征
Tab.2 General characteristics of the study population
| Variable | Overall (n=2122) | Non-MASLD (n=1149) | MASLD (n=973) | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (year, Mean±SD) | 45.30 (14.17) | 43.43 (14.63) | 47.52 (13.27) | <0.001 |
| Gender [n (%)] | <0.001 | |||
| Male | 1168 (55%) | 602 (52%) | 566 (58%) | |
| Female | 954 (45%) | 547 (48%) | 407 (42%) | |
| Education level [n (%)] | 0.13 | |||
| Less than high school | 354 (17%) | 181 (16%) | 173 (18%) | |
| High school or equivalent | 413 (19%) | 212 (18%) | 201 (21%) | |
| College or above | 1355 (64%) | 756 (66%) | 599 (62%) | |
| Income level [n (%)] | 0.03 | |||
| Low income | 519 (24%) | 283 (25%) | 236 (24%) | |
| Middle income | 804 (38%) | 408 (36%) | 396 (41%) | |
| High income | 799 (38%) | 458 (40%) | 341 (35%) | |
| Marital status [n (%)] | <0.001 | |||
| Married | 1400 (66%) | 734 (64%) | 666 (68%) | |
| Divorced | 329 (16%) | 166 (14%) | 163 (17%) | |
| Single | 393 (19%) | 249 (22%) | 144 (15%) | |
| BMI (kg/m2, Mean±SD) | 29.19 (6.83) | 24.88 (3.48) | 34.27 (6.31) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes [n (%)] | 216 (10%) | 63 (5.5%) | 153 (16%) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension [n (%)] | 620 (29%) | 219 (19%) | 401 (41%) | <0.001 |
| Total cholesterol level (mmol/L, Mean±SD) | 4.94 (1.06) | 4.80 (1.00) | 5.11 (1.10) | <0.001 |
| Urinary creatinine level (mg/100 mL, Mean±SD) | 122.22 (79.13) | 113.38 (76.69) | 132.66 (80.72) | <0.001 |
| VOC | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | P | OR (95% CI) | P | |
| 2-MHA | 1.02 (0.77-1.36) | 0.871 | 1.05 (0.93-1.18) | 0.427 |
| 3,4-MHA | 0.95 (0.78-1.15) | 0.582 | 1.03 (0.94-1.13) | 0.532 |
| AMCC | 0.85 (0.48-1.48) | 0.558 | 0.98 (0.90-1.08) | 0.743 |
| ATCA | 1.06 (0.95-1.18) | 0.279 | 1.13 (1.03-1.25) | 0.008 |
| BMA | 1.02 (0.94-1.12) | 0.585 | 1.07 (0.94-1.22) | 0.297 |
| CEMA | 1.98 (1.53-2.56) | <0.001 | 1.28 (1.11-1.46) | <0.001 |
| CYMA | 0.76 (0.55-1.04) | 0.086 | 0.98 (0.89-1.08) | 0.682 |
| DHBMA | 1.33 (1.14-1.56) | <0.001 | 1.29 (1.17-1.43) | <0.001 |
| 2HPMA | 1.00 (0.91-1.09) | 0.975 | 1.03 (0.94-1.12) | 0.539 |
| 3HPMA | 0.59 (0.46-0.76) | <0.001 | 1.02 (0.93-1.12) | 0.697 |
| MA | 1.12 (0.60-2.09) | 0.713 | 1.17 (0.94-1.46) | 0.164 |
| PGA | 0.95 (0.54-1.66) | 0.849 | 1.15 (0.94-1.42) | 0.181 |
| AAMA | 0.81 (0.67-0.99) | 0.036 | 1.00 (0.91-1.10) | 0.963 |
| MHBMA3 | 0.87 (0.64-1.18) | 0.357 | 1.05 (0.95-1.15) | 0.359 |
| HMPMA | 1.57 (1.11-2.21) | 0.011 | 1.09 (0.99-1.21) | 0.083 |
表3 单一mVOC与MASLD之间的关联
Tab.3 Correlation between single mVOC and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)
| VOC | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | P | OR (95% CI) | P | |
| 2-MHA | 1.02 (0.77-1.36) | 0.871 | 1.05 (0.93-1.18) | 0.427 |
| 3,4-MHA | 0.95 (0.78-1.15) | 0.582 | 1.03 (0.94-1.13) | 0.532 |
| AMCC | 0.85 (0.48-1.48) | 0.558 | 0.98 (0.90-1.08) | 0.743 |
| ATCA | 1.06 (0.95-1.18) | 0.279 | 1.13 (1.03-1.25) | 0.008 |
| BMA | 1.02 (0.94-1.12) | 0.585 | 1.07 (0.94-1.22) | 0.297 |
| CEMA | 1.98 (1.53-2.56) | <0.001 | 1.28 (1.11-1.46) | <0.001 |
| CYMA | 0.76 (0.55-1.04) | 0.086 | 0.98 (0.89-1.08) | 0.682 |
| DHBMA | 1.33 (1.14-1.56) | <0.001 | 1.29 (1.17-1.43) | <0.001 |
| 2HPMA | 1.00 (0.91-1.09) | 0.975 | 1.03 (0.94-1.12) | 0.539 |
| 3HPMA | 0.59 (0.46-0.76) | <0.001 | 1.02 (0.93-1.12) | 0.697 |
| MA | 1.12 (0.60-2.09) | 0.713 | 1.17 (0.94-1.46) | 0.164 |
| PGA | 0.95 (0.54-1.66) | 0.849 | 1.15 (0.94-1.42) | 0.181 |
| AAMA | 0.81 (0.67-0.99) | 0.036 | 1.00 (0.91-1.10) | 0.963 |
| MHBMA3 | 0.87 (0.64-1.18) | 0.357 | 1.05 (0.95-1.15) | 0.359 |
| HMPMA | 1.57 (1.11-2.21) | 0.011 | 1.09 (0.99-1.21) | 0.083 |
图1 纳入研究的15种mVOCs之间的相关性
Fig.1 Correlation between the 15 mVOCs included in the study. The numbers in the figure represent the correlation coefficients between two VOCs. Darkest shades indicate a strong positive correlation (close to 1), while the light shades indicate a strong negative correlation (close to -1). The asterisks (*) within the squares denote the statistical significance of the correlation coefficients. *P<0.05, ** P<0.01, ***P<0.001).
图2 纳入研究的 15 种 mVOCs 的 LASSO 回归分析
Fig.2 LASSO regression analysis of the 15 types of mVOCs included in the study. A: Screening pathway for mVOCs associated with MASLD risk. B: Correlation between log-transformed λ and MSE. The red dashed line and its error bars in B represent the mean MSE values and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). The left black dashed line indicates the optimal λ value yielding the minimum MSE, while the right black dashed line shows the λ value from the simplest model obtained at one standard error below the minimum MSE.
图3 WQS模型正向回归mVOCs混合物与MASLD的权重图
Fig. 3 WQS model forward regression of mVOCs mixtures with MASLD weight plots. The chart above were adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity, dietary patterns, income level, marital status, occupation, diabetes, hypertension, smoking status, and total cholesterol levels.
| Subgroup | OR (95% CI) | P | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | |||
| Male | 1.21 (0.99, 1.47) | 0.056 | |
| Female | 1.06 (0.86, 1.30) | 0.579 | |
| Smoking status | |||
| Non-smoker | 1.10 (0.83, 1.46) | 0.501 | |
| Secondhand smoker | 1.27 (1.02, 1.57) | 0.031 | |
| Current smoker | 1.49 (1.19, 1.87) | <0.001 | |
表4 不同分组mVOCs与MASLD的关联
Tab.4 Associations between different groupings of mVOCs and MASLD
| Subgroup | OR (95% CI) | P | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | |||
| Male | 1.21 (0.99, 1.47) | 0.056 | |
| Female | 1.06 (0.86, 1.30) | 0.579 | |
| Smoking status | |||
| Non-smoker | 1.10 (0.83, 1.46) | 0.501 | |
| Secondhand smoker | 1.27 (1.02, 1.57) | 0.031 | |
| Current smoker | 1.49 (1.19, 1.87) | <0.001 | |
图4 吸烟状况分组中WQS模型正向回归mVOCs混合物与MASLD的权重图
Fig. 4 WQS model forward regression of mVOCs mixtures with MASLD weight plots in groups with different smoking statuses. A: Weight map of mVOCs in the smoking group after adjusting for confounding factors. B: Weight map of mVOCs in the secondhand smoking exposure group after adjusting for confounding factors.
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